NFL Super Bowl odds 2022: Top model enters predictions, picks to win, teams to avoid

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The Miami Dolphins have not won a playoff game since the 2000 season. They have advanced to the postseason only three times since then and have not appeared in the NFL playoffs since 2016. Still, there is a sense that the tide is turning in Miami and we soon may have to consider where we see the Dolphins among the 2022 Super Bowl picks in the AFC. While Miami has not been able to rise above mediocrity since Dan Marino retired, the pieces are starting to fall for the Dolphins to make the playoffs and get their shot to compete with the other 2022 Super Bowl contenders.

The Dolphins are listed at +2800 in the latest 2022 Super Bowl odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa may be ready to rise as he opens the 2021 campaign as the starter and in good health. The defense has a chance to get Miami involved in conversations of who’s underrated in the Super Bowl odds 2022 after it led the NFL with 29 takeaways, while the Dolphins may also strongly benefit from a massive draft haul of five picks in the first three rounds. Before making any 2022 Super Bowl picks based on the latest NFL odds, you need to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has set its sights on finding value in the 2022 Super Bowl odds. You can see its top NFL picks and predictions here.

Top 2022 Super Bowl predictions

After simulating the season 10,000 times, the model likes the value of the Buffalo Bills, even though they are +1300 underdogs to win the Super Bowl. Quarterback Josh Allen is the main reason why the Bills can reach Super Bowl LVI after they fell one game short last season. Allen set a franchise record with 46 total touchdowns as Buffalo made its deepest postseason run in 27 years. The Bills have totaled 23 regular season wins the past two years and won their first playoff game since 1995 last year. They took the AFC East title for the first time in 25 years.

Buffalo had the second-best offense and third-best passing game in the NFL last season and can keep pace with any of the other elite teams in the game. Stefon Diggs joined Allen to form one of the most lethal offensive duos in the league, as he led the NFL with 127 receptions and 1,535 receiving yards. Most of the starters are returning on both sides of the ball and there was a heavy focus on bolstering the offensive and defensive lines in the 2021 NFL Draft.

The model says the Bills win Super Bowl 56 in 8.3 percent of simulations, more often than their odds imply.

How to make 2022 Super Bowl picks

The model is also high on a juicy long shot in the AFC that would pay even better than the Colts (25-1). You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Super Bowl 56 bets.

So which long shot provides a juicy price to win Super Bowl LVI? And what other teams provide value at their current Super Bowl 2022 odds? Check out the latest Super Bowl LVI odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the picks from the model that’s up almost $7,900.

2022 Super Bowl odds to win

Chiefs +525
Buccaneers +650
Bills +1300
Ravens +1400
Rams +1400
49ers +1400
Packers +1600
Browns +1800
Broncos +2000
Colts +2500
Saints +2500
Seahawks +2500
Dolphins +2800
Cowboys +2800
Titans +3000
Patriots +3000
Steelers +3500
Chargers +3500
Cardinals +4000
Vikings +4000
Falcons +5000
Bears +5000
Washington Football Team +5000
Panthers +6000
Raiders +7000
Giants +7500
Eagles +7500
Bengals +10000
Jaguars +10000
Jets +10000
Lions +15000
Texans +20000

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