Mosialos: “It is possible that the Health System will be under a lot of pressure in the coming days” (pic & vids)
What Elias Mosialos said about when the pandemic will end
Professor of Health Policy Mr. Elias Mosialos made a post on Facebook and referring to the new Omicron mutation wrote that “We do the third dose immediately because as several studies show, we will have enough protection against Omicron if we have done all three doses. Those who have not been vaccinated should now seriously consider what they will do. The problem of our country is the relatively high rate of unvaccinated (compared to other countries) at the age of over 50. However, those who have taken the third dose should not have any particular reasons for concern “.
For the study from Imperial College he wrote that “Confirms what we already know about the greater transmissibility and the greater possibility of re-infection of the micron variant against the Delta variant” and continued how “Regarding the clinical picture of those who got stuck, the researchers announced that no difference was found between the two variants”. He also stressed that “The authors of the study point out in the discussion of the data they analyzed, that no evidence was found that the cases of omicron had a different clinical picture (better or worse) than the delta, based on the percentage of positively diagnosed who had symptoms or went to hospital. At present they do not have sufficient data on the clinical picture caused by micron in relation to Delta “.
He then stressed that “the data from South Africa show that there is a de-escalation of the pandemic wave in this country “, but “even there, we do not know if there is a delay in official recording of cases, and therefore not real de-escalation. Something that had happened a few days ago. “And while the leadership of the South African Ministry of Health appears optimistic, I would say we should wait a few more days to have a clearer picture.”
“Depending on the news published by the media, one can say that we have a big problem or that in fact the problem is temporary. But we do not know exactly yet. In the UK it is clear that we have a significant increase in cases.
Yesterday more than 93,000 people were diagnosed positive. Let’s say here that it is not clear the percentage of cases that are admitted to the hospital and have stuck microns. And this is because a test is performed but not necessarily and the variation that each patient wears is identified. However, it is possible that there will be a lot of pressure on the health system in the coming days. I would therefore recommend that we do not rush to conclusions yet. “
“Study confirms what we know about transmissibility”
“The Imperial study confirmed what we know about the contagion, but in fact nothing is clear about the severity of the infection. As I said, the data from South Africa is encouraging, but there may be a problem with the delay in recording, and interpreting the micron wave there with delayed recording data. “ wrote Mr. Mosialos.
He also emphasizes that “The effects of one variant can have a different impact per country” and explains that in a country like South Africa with a small proportion of the elderly and vulnerable in the population, but at the same time a large proportion of the population with immunoprotection, or because another variant was stuck virus, or because many have been vaccinated, the effects will be small. On the other hand, the effects will be greater when immunoprotection in the population is low and we have a relatively large number of vulnerable citizens.
Greece is characterized by good but not very high vaccination coverage and at the same time by a high percentage of citizens in the high risk category. Also a higher rate of unvaccinated people over the age of 50, compared to other countries in Southern and Northern Europe. “Therefore,” according to him, ““Even if the micron is milder than the delta, the effects in Greece may be greater compared to Denmark or Portugal.”
The pandemic may still be “galloping”, but Mr. Mosialos stressed that “We are not in 2020. We have vaccines that are sufficient for Omicron as well. “Instead of panicking, let us take advantage of the opportunity we have to increase our defenses.”
As for “when will all this end?”, He estimates that it will end when:
- The vast majority of the world’s population will have been vaccinated (this, at current vaccination rates, does not appear to be possible by 2022).
- When we will have sufficient quantities of drugs (this is expected by the end of 2022).
And provided we do not have other more dangerous variants. Since March 2020, I have stressed the urgent need for mass production of vaccines and their equal distribution in all countries of the world. Until this is done (and two years later, there are no more excuses) there will be a risk of new mutations. I hope that the leaders of the rich countries will do what is right, in terms of transferring know-how for the production of vaccines. The problem will not be solved with the vaccinations of the inhabitants of only the most prosperous countries “.
See also: Australia: High vaccination rate of over 90% prevents the need for restrictive measures to celebrate Christmas